If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?
69
Ṁ100Ṁ3.7kDec 1
73%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"win the House" == when counting all voting representatives who caucus with the Democrats, the Democratic caucus has a majority
"win the Senate" == when counting all voting senators who caucus with the Democrats, the Democratic caucus has a full majority (51+)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
31% chance
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
64% chance
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
65% chance
Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?
76% chance
Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election
67% chance
Will Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024 and 2026, then regain it in 2028?
16% chance
Will Democrats win 53 seats or more in the 2026 Senate elections?
36% chance
Will Democrats win the House but lose the Senate?
32% chance