MANIFOLD
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
91
Ṁ10kṀ55k
Nov 4
34%
chance

Resolves yes if Democrats win the Texas Senate Seat election in 2026.

Current primary candidates include Crockett and Talarico on the Democratic side and Cornyn, Paxton and Bell on the Republican side.

Market context
US Politics
Politics
2026 US Congressional Elections
Texas
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reposted

This century. Democrats haven’t won statewide in only 2 states. Texas and Utah. Will Texas change this in 2026 for senate?

bought Ṁ50 YES

This market is featured on predictle today

It is insane that this is even in the cards. And yes, I think this looks calibrated right now.

bought Ṁ2,500 NO

Happiness hedge

reposted

I have a big yes order up

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@Jack1 Lovely thanks

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Who Will win the 2026 Texas Senate Seat Democratic Primary?
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Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
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Will a runoff be needed in the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary?
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89% chance
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Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
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Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2026?
36% chance
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