
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
44
3.4kṀ18k2026
98%
Wyoming
96%
South Dakota
95%
West Virginia
95%
Montana
95%
Arkansas
94%
Oklahoma
94%
Mississippi
94%
Kansas
94%
Louisiana
93%
Tennessee
92%
South Carolina
92%
Idaho
91%
Kentucky
91%
Alabama
85%
Nebraska
81%
Texas
78%
Iowa
76%
Ohio (Special)
76%
Florida (Special)
66%
Alaska
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_elections
Update 2025-07-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - An independent candidate who caucuses with the Republican party will not count as a Republican for the purposes of this market's resolution.
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