Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.

Resolves as YES if such a system is created before we get room temperature (and ambient pressure) superconductors.

AGI questions:

Will we get AGI before 2025?NO‌

Will we get AGI before 2026?4%‌

Will we get AGI before 2027?17%‌

Will we get AGI before 2028?35%‌

Will we get AGI before 2029?51%‌

Will we get AGI before 2030?59%‌

Will we get AGI before 2031?66%‌

Will we get AGI before 2032?67%‌

Will we get AGI before 2033?73%‌

Will we get AGI before 2034?76%‌

Will we get AGI before 2035?78%‌

Will we get AGI before 2036?79%‌

Will we get AGI before 2037?80%‌

Will we get AGI before 2038?81%‌

Will we get AGI before 2039?82%‌

Will we get AGI before 2040?83%‌

Will we get AGI before 2041?83%‌

Will we get AGI before 2042?84%‌

Will we get AGI before 2043?85%‌

Will we get AGI before 2044?85%‌

Will we get AGI before 2045?87%‌

Will we get AGI before 2046?88%‌

Will we get AGI before 2047?89%‌

Will we get AGI before 2048?90%‌

Room Temperature Superconductor questions:

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2025?NO‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2026?6%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2027?9%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2028?9%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2029?10%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2030?14%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031?17%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2032?17%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?19%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2034?25%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2035?32%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2036?34%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2037?39%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2038?49%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?55%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?57%‌

Other reference points for AGI:

Will we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?50%‌

Will we get AGI before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China?40%‌

Will we get AGI before a human walks on the Moon again?33%‌

Will we get AGI before a human walks on Mars?69%‌

Will we get AGI before we get room temperature superconductors?83%‌ (this question)

Will we get AGI before we discover alien life?85%‌

Will we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?56%‌

Other reference points for room temperature superconductors:

Will we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life?55%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?36%‌

Room Temperature is defined as at least 0 centigrade. Ambient Pressure is defined as at most 2 atmospheres.