Will a new non-AI technology with at least as much impact on society as the internet or TV did be developed before AGI? | Manifold

Will a new non-AI technology with at least as much impact on society as the internet or TV did be developed before AGI?

10

150Ṁ176

2030

21%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will resolve to a separate poll when there is major news source consensus that human-level AGI has been achieved. I'll keep extending it until then if 2030 isn't enough time.

Should have both high impact and wide adoption, so e.g. immortality just for super rich wouldn't count, but room temperature ambient pressure superconductivity in every device would.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

I'm not really sure we'll have either for a fairly long time, to be completely honest.

As in imminent human extinction?

No, as in I think that we're still pretty far from true AGI and also that the Internet and TV were some of the most influential inventions in human history.

Fair enough

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2041?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?

Will AGI come from a technology significantly more advanced than transformers?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Will AGI be a problem before non-G AI?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2041?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Will AGI come from a technology significantly more advanced than transformers?

Will AGI be a problem before non-G AI?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules