Will strong AGI be achieved before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
Mini
8
Ṁ672033
66%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
AGI as defined by Manifold's official market, and/or societal consensus
Sueprconductor as defined by at the same conditions as the LK-99 market, but for any material. and/or general scientific community consensus
Market open until one happens
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
3% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?
55% chance
Will we get AGI before we get room temperature superconductors?
76% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?
37% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2100?
51% chance
Will AI play a substential role in the discovery of the first room T+P superconductor ?
58% chance
Conditional on any room-temp superconductor being replicated before 2025, will the main LK-99 market resolve YES?
33% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life?
52% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2035?
28% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2038?
36% chance