Will strong AGI be achieved before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
Basic
8
Ṁ672033
66%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
AGI as defined by Manifold's official market, and/or societal consensus
Sueprconductor as defined by at the same conditions as the LK-99 market, but for any material. and/or general scientific community consensus
Market open until one happens
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
1% chance
Will we get AGI before we get room temperature superconductors?
79% chance
Conditional on any room-temp superconductor being replicated before 2025, will the main LK-99 market resolve YES?
33% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?
61% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?
56% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2038?
57% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2100?
53% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?
27% chance
Will AI play a substential role in the discovery of the first room T+P superconductor ?
59% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life?
65% chance