![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FCameronHolmes%252F4dd527130b9d.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2100?
Basic
30
Ṁ8802100
51%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2100.
My intention with this market is to provide a way to capture the crux of whether people think RTAP superconductors are technically feasible from questions of rates of technical progress/discovery (but clearly I had to pick some timeline for it to be able to realistically resolve).
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
13% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?
55% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?
37% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2035?
28% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2038?
36% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2036?
32% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2037?
35% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?
20% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2034?
25% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031?
15% chance