MANIFOLD
Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election
15
Ṁ100Ṁ506
2030
39%
chance
4

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Reform UK is in government following the next UK general election, either as the main governing party or as part of a formal supply and confidence agreement with another party. Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the UK government and Parliament regarding the composition of government.

The next UK general election is scheduled to be held no later than Wednesday 15 August 2029, though it may be called earlier at the Prime Minister's discretion.

Market context
Elections
Elections: World
UK Politics
UK
UK policies by the next election
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bought Ṁ2 NO

Voting "yes" on this is too depressing.

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