Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?
30
100Ṁ26k2029
43%
chance
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Update 2025-01-01 (PST): - If Reform merges with the Tories, the market will be canceled. (AI summary of creator comment)
Update 2025-27-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:
If the parties merge before the election, the market is N/A.
Forming a coalition does not affect the market resolution criteria.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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boughtṀ100NO
@LukeShadwell to be clear here for any new traders, this means N/A if the PARTIES merge before the election. It does not mean in the case of a coalition
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