How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
12
1kṀ12302029
7.2 MPs
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
5%
0
5%
1
5%
2
23%
3 - 4
28%
5 - 7
14%
8 - 10
10%
11 - 15
10%
Above 15
Resolves to the number of MPs reported to be Reform UK according to members.parliament.uk on the day the next UK General Election is called (i.e. the date the PM confirms there will be an election, not the polling date)
To avoid issues with potential mergers or party rebranding, this resolves to the number of MPs specifically noted as being part of “Reform UK”, no other phrasing will count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?
153
Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?
25% chance
Will Reform win the next UK election?
27% chance
Who will be the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election?
Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?
18% chance
How many Reform councillors will have left the Party by the May 2026 elections.
If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform?
Reform UK won five seats in the 2024 General Election. When will the first by-election be called in one of those seats?
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?