The Cursed Market Challenge: Which team can create the most cursed market on Manifold?
20
390Ṁ518
resolved Aug 1
Resolved
NO

Do you have what it takes to create the most cursed market on Manifold? The rules are simple: Come up with an idea for a cursed market, and make it. You can then submit the market for consideration by posting a link or embedding it in the comments. In the end, I will choose the submission which I think is the most cursed, and resolve this market YES if the person who submitted it holds YES shares at close, and NO if they hold NO shares at close. If the user who submitted it doesn't hold any shares, I will choose the next-most-cursed market.

Rules for submissions:

  • Only one submission per user, but you can replace a previous submission by submitting a new market.

  • You can only submit a market that you created.

  • I cannot submit any markets, nor will I hold shares at close, to prevent bias in my judgement.

  • Aside from the restrictions above, you can submit any market that you create before this one closes for the final time. That includes markets that have already resolved, and markets that you created before this one existed.

How this market will close:

The market will close at its scheduled closure date if the following conditions are met:

  • Each side has at least one submission (i.e., there is at least one YES shareholder and at least one NO shareholder who have submitted markets).

  • At least five markets must be nominated. A nomination refers either to a valid submission, a submission that isn't being considered (either because the user replaced it with a new one or because they don't hold shares at close), or a user linking to a market and suggesting that its creator should submit it. It doesn't count if someone nominates one of my markets, since they aren't allowed to be considered, but I can nominate another user's market if I want.

If these conditions are not met, the close date will be extended by one month, until they are met.

The winner will be decided subjectively by me. I will choose mainly based on how cursed I find it to be, but I will favor more original markets, so slight variations on someone else's idea probably won't win, even if the variant is more cursed. I will also take into account arguments made in the comments for why a certain market should win and the opinions of people in the comments. "Cursed" covers a broad range of qualities - it could be unsettling, bizarre, baffling, cringeworthy, gross, or some combination thereof. Bonus points if it is cursed in a funny way, and double bonus points if the creator was probably embarrassed to have their name attached to such a cursed market.

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