Will I accidentally type "vore" instead of "vote" at least once between now and November 6, 2024?

'2024':17 '6':16 'accident':3 'instead':6 'least':10 'novemb':15 'type':4 'vore':5 'vote':8

What is the most cursed market on Manifold?

Will a human have offspring with a non-human animal before the end of 2024?

'2024':16 'anim':11 'end':14 'human':3,10 'non':9 'non-human':8 'offspr':5

Will a current or former world leader shit themselves in 2023?

'2023':11 'current':3 'former':5 'leader':7 'shit':8 'world':6

Will any big naughty whales dump their full delicious loads 🍆 💦 into any of my tiny little limit orders?🥵 😈

'big':3 'delici':9 'dump':6 'full':8 'limit':17 'littl':16 'load':10 'naughti':4 'order':18 'tini':15 'whale':5

Will Joe Biden win the popular vore against Donald Trump?

'biden':3 'donald':9 'joe':2 'popular':6 'trump':10 'vore':7 'win':4

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky tweet rationalussy 

'eliez':2 'rationalussi':5 'tweet':4 'yudkowski':3

'engin':6 'openai':2 'releas':3 'search':5

Whalussies vs Minnussies: Will whalussies get 69 times as much as minnussies with their meagre but numerous rationalussy

'69':7 'get':6 'meagr':15 'minnussi':3,12 'much':10 'numer':17 'rationalussi':18 'time':8 'vs':2 'whalussi':1,5

[Bad Resolve] Will anyone walk around manifest in a fursuit?

'anyon':4 'around':6 'bad':1 'fursuit':10 'manifest':7 'resolv':2 'walk':5

Which Manifest attendee would I enjoy having a one-night stand with the most?

'attende':3 'enjoy':6 'manifest':2 'night':11 'one':10 'one-night':9 'stand':12 'would':4

Conditional on manifold.love explicitly allowing people <18 to participate, will it get very bad PR within 3 months?

'18':7 '3':17 'allow':5 'bad':14 'condit':1 'explicit':4 'get':12 'manifold.love':3 'month':18 'particip':9 'peopl':6 'pr':15 'within':16

Will i go one day without stalking my ex?

'day':5 'ex':9 'go':3 'one':4 'stalk':7 'without':6

Will there be an unanticipated, wide-spread Mana-affecting bug by 2024-02-01?

'-01':16 '-02':15 '2024':14 'affect':11 'bug':12 'mana':10 'mana-affect':9 'spread':8 'unanticip':5 'wide':7 'wide-spread':6

Will This Specific Manifold Prediction Market Question Be Resolved Before 2035?

'2035':11 'manifold':4 'market':6 'predict':5 'question':7 'resolv':9 'specif':3

Which nightmarish abomination is getting the best head?

'abomin':3 'best':7 'get':5 'head':8 'nightmarish':2

If I set my curtain on fire and don't attempt to put it out for the first 1 minute, will my house burn down?

'1':19 'attempt':11 'burn':24 'curtain':5 'fire':7 'first':18 'hous':23 'minut':20 'put':13 'set':3

Will this question close at exactly 13% at the end of August 2023?

'13':7 '2023':13 'august':12 'close':4 'end':10 'exact':6 'question':3

Will Donald Trump be assassinated before September 9, 2023?

'2023':9 '9':8 'assassin':5 'donald':2 'septemb':7 'trump':3

Will Manifold donate money to a terrorist organization by 2024?

'2024':10 'donat':3 'manifold':2 'money':4 'organ':8 'terrorist':7

Will someone commit murder to profit on Manifold by 2030?

'2030':10 'commit':3 'manifold':8 'murder':4 'profit':6 'someon':2

Conditional on being investigated for the murder of @Joshua by 2024, will I be found guilty?

'2024':11 'condit':1 'found':15 'guilti':16 'investig':4 'joshua':9 'murder':7

The Sexual Marketplace: Which national political figures will have a new sex scandal (true or not) before 2025? https://manifold.markets/Joshua/which-national-political-figures-wi

'/joshua/which-national-political-figures-wi':21 '2025':18 'figur':7 'manifold.markets':20 'manifold.markets/joshua/which-national-political-figures-wi':19 'marketplac':3 'nation':5 'new':11 'polit':6 'scandal':13 'sex':12 'sexual':2 'true':14

The options above were all submitted as contenders for the Cursed Market Tournament, and the tournament was seeded based on a preliminary approval-style poll and the probabilities at the time when submissions closed. The top 32 options were chosen for the bracket, shown here:

The tournament will proceed based on single-elimination rules. For each round, I will create markets on what the winner of each match will be. The winners will be determined based on a vote, with the average probability of the market on the matchup being used as a tiebreaker. (If there is somehow still a tie, I will be the tiebreaker, but this has probability near zero).