Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
140
1kṀ30kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if the PRC attempts to physically invade Taiwan in the year of 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ264 | |
| 2 | Ṁ263 | |
| 3 | Ṁ109 | |
| 4 | Ṁ102 | |
| 5 | Ṁ91 |
People are also trading
Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?
30% chance
If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
40% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
40% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
42% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
37% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
25% chance
People are also trading
Related questions
Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?
30% chance
If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
40% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
40% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
42% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
37% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
25% chance