When will Starship first deploy a commercial satellite to orbit?
23
64
Ṁ1.2KṀ945
2027
1D
1W
1M
ALL
21%
By end of September 2024
36%
By end of December 2024
46%
By end of June 2025
76%
By end of December 2025
83%
By end of December 2026
Answers resolve YES once SpaceX confirms that a commercial payload* (that had been launched on a Starship) has been successfully deployed to orbit
Otherwise answers will resolve NO as their dates are reached
*A commercial payload is any satellite deployed from Starship that was paid for by an entity other than SpaceX - Hence Starlink missions and other internal payloads do not count, and nor do payloads that remain within Starship (or Starship itself in cases like the Artemis HLS missions) even if Starship itself completes an orbit.
Resolves based on the time of deployment, not the time of launch
UTC is used
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