Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030
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For clarity, if a part of Russia secedes as an independent state this would resolve positively.
If Crimea went back to Ukraine that would not be enough.
If Crimea became an independent country, that would.
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more clearer question with 1.5k MANA: https://manifold.markets/fast/will-any-of-the-89-russian-regions?r=ZmFzdA
@BrunoParga under the Russian Constitution there more lands in Russia than it is Internationally recognized, and these contradictions are adding more chances of breaking up
Current events on this front:
https://manifold.markets/Schwabilismus/will-ukraine-take-grayvoron-this-we?r=U2Nod2FiaWxpc211cw
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