All of the EU, USA, China and Russia fragmented by the end of 2030?
All of the EU, USA, China and Russia fragmented by the end of 2030?
14
100Ṁ2896
2030
3%
chance

A victory for dark enlightenment - fragmentation of the four biggest corrupt mega-entities.

As the EU is already fragmented, it must be at or below the present (Feb 2025) level of unification.

The other 3 must be at most at the same level - so there must be multiple entities managing their own taxation and security. If any is in the state of civil war, the actual situation/governance ability on the ground will be considered.

  • Update 2025-02-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Fragmentation Count: Only 2 fragments is enough.

    • Minimum Size Threshold: The fragmentation must be at least a 1/5 - 4/5 split, meaning both groups should constitute a significant proportion of the original entity.

    • Sovereignty Requirements: Both fragments must have control over security and taxation.

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