Russia collapses before 2030
118
1.1kṀ24k
2030
22%
chance

Henry Kissinger and other experts consider the possibility of a collapse of Russia.

For the purpose of this market, this means either at least three Russian republics declaring their independence or Russia becoming a failed state, not controlling all or a large part of its territory.

Territories in Ukraine including Crimea are not taken into account for this market.

A successful coup is not enough if the new leader still control all Russia.

I will not bet on this market.

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