Will Ryan Salame (ex FTX exec) be *indicted* before 2024?
#Court cases#FTX Insolvency Crisis#FTX#SBF#New Year's Resolutions 2024
13
151
Ṁ250
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

https://www.wsj.com/articles/former-ftx-executive-linked-to-campaign-finance-probe-of-new-york-gop-race-c2b50252

Read before betting (9/7/2023)

Guilty plea ≠ indictment.

What is an indictment?

'An indictment is a formal charging document used when it’s believed a person has committed a crime. It contains information on the charges being brought forward against someone, according to the U.S. Justice Department.

An indictment means a grand jury has decided there’s "more likely than not" enough evidence – based on testimony – to move forward with charging a person, according to David Weinstein, a former federal and state prosecutor.'

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2023/08/15/what-is-an-indictment/70589110007/

https://www.justice.gov/usao/justice-101/charging

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I’m rebalancing. People should probably keep buying NO. I won’t trade in this market anymore.

bought Ṁ30 of NO

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Will there be at least one other indictment in the FTX/Alameda debacle before the end of 2023?
59% chance. Other than SBF, Gary Wang or Caroline Ellison. If the February or March markets resolve YES, this one automatically resolves YES. Resolves to YES if criminal charges are brought in the US against anyone for their involvement with FTX or Alameda in relation to the current collapse and fraud case. Feb 22, 7:52pm: Will there be at least one other indictment in the FTX/Alameda debacle before the end of 2023? → Will there be at least one other indictment/charges filed in the FTX/Alameda debacle before the end of 2023? Feb 22, 10:16pm: Will there be at least one other indictment/charges filed in the FTX/Alameda debacle before the end of 2023? → Will there be at least one other indictment in the FTX/Alameda debacle before the end of 2023? PLEASE READ: Feb 28, 1:34pm: This and related markets are about INDICTMENTS (i.e. by a grand jury), not plea deals with prosecutors.
predicted YES

Seeming likely!

predicted NO

@samb I have two markets, one on a guilty plea and this one on indictments (brought by a grand jury). These are distinct questions.

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