When will Artemis 2 launch? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
Basic
6
Ṁ953resolved Aug 22
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%98%
Not in 2024
0.9%
November 2024
1.3%
December 2024
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full set of markets on this dashboard.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Artemis 2 is NET September 2025. Considering we don't have loans anymore and the decision is certain, perhaps this could resolve early.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Artemis II launch before 2027?
74% chance
Will Artemis II launch before 2026?
15% chance
Will Artemis 2 be launched before the end of 2024?
2% chance
How many orbital launch attempts will we see in 2024 around the world? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
Will Artemis III launch before 2027?
7% chance
When will Blue Origin launch their New Glenn rocket? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
Will the Everyday Astronaut go to the moon by the end of 2024?
3% chance
How many lunar landers will successfully land on the moon in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
Will Artemis 2 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
95% chance