Will Artemis 2 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
6
23
150
2025
94%
chance

This market closes when Artemis 2 returns to Earth (resolves YES), a member of its crew dies during the mission (resolves NO), or the mission is scrapped before T–0 (resolves N/A), whichever occurs first.

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/jks/will-artemis-2-return-to-earth-with (this question)
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Updating closing date to 30 September 2025 due to delays:

https://spacenews.com/nasa-delays-artemis-2-and-3-missions/