If this went by my opinion, I would say that SLIM, IM-1, and the Chinese one were all successful, and the answer is "3 or more". But some of those successes are sufficiently ambiguous that I want to wait for Everyday Astronaut's followup video and use his answer.

SLIM landed "successfully" by some metrics. (Soft landing but wrong orientation, so the lander's solar panels aren't generating power).

What are the landers that are likely to attempt in 2024? Here are the ones I'm aware of:

- JAXA's SLIM lander on January 19 (Success chance is 76% according to this market: https://manifold.markets/Blomfilter/will-japans-moon-lander-land-succes)
- Astrobiotic's Peregrine on February 23 (Success chance of 37% here: https://manifold.markets/Sailfish/will-astrobotic-technologys-peregri)
- Intuitive Machine's IM-1 NET February as well as a possible IM-2/IM-3 later in the year Success chance is currently at 39% here: https://manifold.markets/Sailfish/will-intuitive-machines-im1-mission, IM-2/IM-3 have higher probabilities but I doubt they'll all launch this year)
- China's Chang'e 6 sometime this year (77% success here: https://manifold.markets/Sailfish/will-cnsas-change-6-mission-success)

Am I missing any?

@TimDuffy There's also Griffin/VIPER https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/VIPER_(rover). Wikipedia says November 2024 but I have near zero faith in that date.

@TimDuffy There's 5 more CLPS missions scheduled in 2024, two of which you have listed

@Multicore Yeah it already says they're delaying it on the IM-1 wiki page