How many lunar landers will successfully land on the moon in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
10
280Ṁ1009
resolved Jan 3
ResolvedN/A
0.7%
0
1.4%
1
13%
2
85%
3 or more

There are (at least) 4 missions currently slated to land on the moon.

This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.

If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.

See the full set of markets on this dashboard.

  • Update 2025-01-01 (PST): - If a follow-up video does not provide a definitive resolution, the market will be resolved as N/A. (AI summary of creator comment)

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