Will ULA's Vulcan launch before 2024?
Will ULA's Vulcan launch before 2024?
35
610Ṁ22k
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO
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1y
NGK boughtṀ100YES
1y

@NGK gotta bet first post the reasons later :D

1y

@Mqrius I didn’t expect anyone to be watching that closely hahahaha

1y

@NGK i got an email notification from your comment, looked at the market, considered that my predictions had shifted a bit, updated the market, and then a split second later you bet as well ^^

predictedYES

It'll be close:

predictedNO 1y

@EvanDaniel it's a maiden launch & they cannot allow any anomalies, any scrub will set them extremely close to 2024 or even delay it to after Jan 1

predictedNO 1y

@KarlisZauers Since their payload needs to get to a specific spot on the moon, and they want good lighting conditions for that spot, Vulcan's launch window is only a few days each month. So if the scrub gives a delay of more than a few days then it's definitely next year.

1y
predictedNO 1y
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