Will ULA's Vulcan launch before 2024?
35
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610
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO
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bought Ṁ1,000 of NO
bought Ṁ700 NO
boughtṀ100YES

@NGK gotta bet first post the reasons later :D

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@Mqrius I didn’t expect anyone to be watching that closely hahahaha

sold Ṁ45 of YES

@NGK i got an email notification from your comment, looked at the market, considered that my predictions had shifted a bit, updated the market, and then a split second later you bet as well ^^

predicted YES

It'll be close:

predicted NO

@EvanDaniel it's a maiden launch & they cannot allow any anomalies, any scrub will set them extremely close to 2024 or even delay it to after Jan 1

predicted NO

@KarlisZauers Since their payload needs to get to a specific spot on the moon, and they want good lighting conditions for that spot, Vulcan's launch window is only a few days each month. So if the scrub gives a delay of more than a few days then it's definitely next year.

bought Ṁ10 of NO
predicted NO