Will SpaceX's HLS uncrewed demo launch before 2026?
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1.7k
2026
15%
chance
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bought Ṁ300 NO

New budget request puts it at 2026

predicts NO

I'm removing the part of the criteria that says "Release of the launch clamps after ignition counts as a launch."

Reason for this is that the launch clamps apparently open well before the launch, and Starship is basically freestanding for a while, and they can still scrub from that state. Launch will now be actual takeoff unless we find a better point to hinge the market on.

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