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MANIFOLD
Will Zimbabwe formally lift its lithium ore export ban by June 30, 2027?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ26
2027
40%
chance

This market resolves YES if, on or before June 30, 2027, Zimbabwe formally lifts, suspends, or grants a general exemption from its ban on exports of raw lithium ore and lithium concentrate, otherwise NO.

YES if: a government gazette notice, statutory instrument, or ministerial order formally lifts or suspends the ban, or export quotas are formally allocated to at least one producer allowing concentrate exports. NO if: none of the above by June 30, 2027. Negotiations, statements of intent, or draft regulations do not count.

Resolution sources (priority order):

  1. Zimbabwe Government Gazette / Ministry of Mines and Mining Development

  2. Reuters, Bloomberg, or Fastmarkets reporting

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