Will China restrict exports of low-hafnium zirconium oxychloride on December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ1Dec 31
79%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China requires an export licence for zirconium oxychloride with a hafnium-to-zirconium mass ratio below 1:500. Resolves NO otherwise.
Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will China restrict exports of ytterbium on December 31, 2026?
54% chance
Will China restrict exports of praseodymium on December 31, 2027?
68% chance
Will China ZOC (zirconium oxychloride) price exceed 3500 USD/t on September 30, 2026?
38% chance
Will China restrict exports of vanadium pentoxide or ferrovanadium on December 31, 2026?
69% chance
Will China restrict exports of dysprosium or terbium on December 31, 2026?
69% chance
Will China restrict exports of selenium on December 31, 2026?
38% chance
Will China restrict exports of electrolytic manganese on December 31, 2026?
27% chance
Will China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2026?
30% chance
Will China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2027?
38% chance
Will China restrict exports of holmium on December 31, 2026?
70% chance