Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of electrolytic manganese on December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ9
Dec 31
27%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has imposed export controls or licensing requirements on electrolytic manganese metal (EMM). Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will China have lifted its April 2025 heavy rare earth export licensing (globally or for the US) as of Dec 31, 2026?
9% chance
Will China's suspension of its October 2025 rare-earth export controls still be in effect on November 30, 2026?
82% chance
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
48% chance
Will China have active, unresumed export controls on graphite anode material (HS 3801.10/3801.90) on December 31, 2026?
57% chance
Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2026?
62% chance
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2027?
41% chance
Will China have active, unresumed export controls on graphite anode material (HS 3801.10/3801.90) on December 31, 2027?
57% chance
China cap on copper smelting by EOY 2026?
32% chance
Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2027?
68% chance
Will China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2026?
30% chance