Will China restrict exports of electrolytic manganese on December 31, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ23Dec 31
42%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has imposed export controls or licensing requirements on electrolytic manganese metal (EMM). Resolves NO otherwise.
Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will China restrict exports of silicon metal on December 31, 2026?
10% chance
Will China restrict exports of chromium or ferrochrome on December 31, 2026?
42% chance
Will China restrict exports of high-purity magnesium on December 31, 2026?
87% chance
Will China restrict exports of zinc powder on December 31, 2026?
82% chance
Will China restrict exports of lead on December 31, 2026?
6% chance
Will China restrict exports of graphite anode material on December 31, 2026?
55% chance
Will China restrict exports of antimony on December 31, 2026?
89% chance
Will China restrict exports of selenium on December 31, 2026?
38% chance
Will China restrict exports of tungsten on December 31, 2026?
88% chance
Will China restrict exports of cobalt battery precursors on December 31, 2026?
35% chance