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MANIFOLD
Will China's October 2025 export controls on lithium battery materials be in effect on December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ1
Dec 31
48%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China's October 2025 export controls on lithium battery, cathode and graphite anode materials, equipment and technologies (MOFCOM-GACC Announcement No. 58 and companion measures) are legally in effect. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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