Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will China's October 2025 export controls on lithium battery materials be in effect on December 31, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ137
Dec 31
15%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China's October 2025 export controls on lithium battery, cathode and graphite anode materials, equipment and technologies (MOFCOM-GACC Announcement No. 58 and companion measures) are legally in effect. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will China's suspension of its October 2025 export controls still be in effect on December 31, 2026?
84% chance
Will China restrict exports of cobalt battery precursors on December 31, 2026?
35% chance
Will China's suspension of its October 2025 rare-earth export controls still be in effect on November 30, 2026?
87% chance
Will China restrict exports of lead on December 31, 2026?
6% chance
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
15% chance
Will China have active, unresumed export controls on graphite anode material (HS 3801.10/3801.90) on December 31, 2026?
57% chance
Will China restrict exports of electrolytic manganese on December 31, 2026?
42% chance
Will China restrict exports of graphite anode material on December 31, 2026?
55% chance
Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2026?
77% chance
Will China restrict exports of lutetium on December 31, 2026?
74% chance