Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of tantalum on December 31, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ24
Dec 31
29%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement scoped exactly to tantalum metal, tantalum powder, tantalum pentoxide, or potassium tantalum fluoride sold as primary material. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will China restrict exports of tungsten on December 31, 2026?
88% chance
Will China restrict exports of tin on December 31, 2026?
89% chance
Will China restrict exports of scandium on December 31, 2026?
85% chance
Will China restrict exports of high-strength titanium alloy on December 31, 2026?
87% chance
Will China restrict exports of samarium on December 31, 2026?
87% chance
Will China restrict exports of antimony on December 31, 2026?
89% chance
Will China restrict exports of cerium on December 31, 2026?
86% chance
Will China restrict exports of tellurium on December 31, 2026?
88% chance
Will China restrict exports of hafnium on December 31, 2026?
88% chance
Will China restrict exports of lutetium on December 31, 2026?
74% chance