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MANIFOLD
Will China's suspension of its October 2025 export controls still be in effect on December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ10
Dec 31
57%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China's suspension of its October 9, 2025 export-control measures (MOFCOM/GAC Announcement No. 70 of 2025) or a successor suspension is in effect. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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