Will China's suspension of its October 2025 export controls still be in effect on December 31, 2026?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ129Dec 31
84%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China's suspension of its October 9, 2025 export-control measures (MOFCOM/GAC Announcement No. 70 of 2025) or a successor suspension is in effect. Resolves NO otherwise.
Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will China's suspension of its October 2025 rare-earth export controls still be in effect on November 30, 2026?
87% chance
Will China's October 2025 export controls on lithium battery materials be in effect on December 31, 2026?
15% chance
Will China have extended its europium export-control pause beyond November 10, 2026, as of December 31, 2026?
79% chance
Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2026?
77% chance
Will China extend its Ga/Ge/Sb export-ban suspension for the US past Nov 27, 2026, as of December 31, 2026?
75% chance
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
15% chance
Will China restrict exports of tin on December 31, 2026?
89% chance
Will China restrict exports of lead on December 31, 2026?
6% chance
Will China restrict exports of silver on December 31, 2026?
90% chance
Will China restrict exports of copper concentrate or refined copper on December 31, 2026?
6% chance