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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of lutetium on December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ3
Dec 31
50%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China MOFCOM HREE export controls (Nos. 18/61/62) are being actively enforced on lutetium. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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