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MANIFOLD
Will China have extended its europium export-control pause beyond November 10, 2026, as of December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ3
Dec 31
43%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China MOFCOM formally extends the europium export control tactical pause past November 10, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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