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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of ytterbium on December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ2
Dec 31
54%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China MOFCOM export licensing requirements on ytterbium and ytterbium compounds are actively enforced. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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