Will China restrict exports of osmium on December 31, 2026?
0
Ṁ100Dec 31
17%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering ordinary unwrought or powder osmium under the iridium, osmium, and ruthenium tariff family HS 711041 and 711049. Resolves NO otherwise.
Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will China restrict exports of cerium on December 31, 2026?
86% chance
Will China restrict exports of high-strength titanium alloy on December 31, 2026?
71% chance
Will China restrict exports of zinc powder on December 31, 2026?
55% chance
Will China restrict exports of dysprosium or terbium on December 31, 2026?
69% chance
Will China restrict exports of selenium on December 31, 2026?
38% chance
Will China restrict exports of electrolytic manganese on December 31, 2026?
27% chance
Will China restrict exports of holmium on December 31, 2026?
70% chance
Will China restrict exports of iridium on December 31, 2026?
14% chance
Will China restrict exports of rhodium on December 31, 2026?
16% chance
Will China restrict exports of praseodymium on December 31, 2027?
68% chance