Will China restrict exports of cerium on December 31, 2026?
0
Ṁ100Dec 31
86%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering cerium metal, oxide, hydroxide, carbonate, cyanide, or other cerium compounds listed under HS 28053015 and 284610. Resolves NO otherwise.
Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will China restrict exports of erbium on December 31, 2026?
60% chance
Will China restrict exports of cesium on December 31, 2026?
12% chance
Will China restrict exports of dysprosium or terbium on December 31, 2026?
86% chance
Will China restrict exports of beryllium on December 31, 2026?
88% chance
Will China restrict exports of ytterbium on December 31, 2026?
49% chance
Will China restrict exports of rhenium on December 31, 2026?
80% chance
Will China restrict exports of scandium on December 31, 2026?
85% chance
Will China restrict exports of selenium on December 31, 2026?
38% chance
Will China restrict exports of iridium on December 31, 2026?
44% chance
Will China restrict exports of lutetium on December 31, 2026?
74% chance