Will China extend its Ga/Ge/Sb export-ban suspension for the US past Nov 27, 2026, as of December 31, 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ78Dec 31
75%
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Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has renewed or extended the MOFCOM civilian-use export suspension (covering gallium, germanium, antimony, and superhard materials to the US) beyond November 27, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise.
Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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