Will any OpenAI model win a chess match against World Champion by the end of 2024?
Plus
17
Ṁ2093Dec 31
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Using internet search, code execution, external programs, chess engines, etc. is not allowed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
61% chance
Will an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
60% chance
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?
16% chance
Will any OpenAI model win a chess match against IM by the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will any OpenAI model win a chess match against GM by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will AI be able to generate correct images of a chess game in 2024?
31% chance
Will chess be solved by 2040?
23% chance
Will an LLM (a GPT-like text AI) defeat the World Champion at Chess before 2035?
51% chance
By the end of Q2 2025 will an open source model beat OpenAI’s o1 model?
61% chance
By the end of Q1 2025 will an open source model beat OpenAI’s o1 model?
24% chance