Will any OpenAI model win a chess match against IM by the end of 2024?
16
1kṀ2561resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Using internet search, code execution, external programs, chess engines, etc. is not allowed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ59 | |
2 | Ṁ54 | |
3 | Ṁ29 | |
4 | Ṁ20 | |
5 | Ṁ18 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
55% chance
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
30% chance
Which of these language models will I beat at chess?
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
55% chance
Will chess be solved by 2040?
24% chance
Will an AI image generation model successfully generate a proper chess board by July 31, 2025
25% chance
Will an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
52% chance
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
14% chance
Will an AI model achieve superhuman ELO on Codeforces by the 31 December 2025?
35% chance
Will end-to-end neural networks such as LLMs can beat the best human player in chess by 2028?
66% chance