Will any OpenAI model win a chess match against IM by the end of 2024?
12
Ṁ720
Dec 31
13%
chance

Using internet search, code execution, external programs, chess engines, etc. is not allowed.

#Technical AI Timelines
#️ Chess
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is chain-of-thought allowed?

predicts NO

@harfe like telling the model to do MCTS from the current position manually.

@harfe Yes, the model can be used in any way, just no external information. For example, calling the model 1000 times and then using the model itself to aggregate its own prediction is also allowed.

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