Will there be mass protests in Ukraine analogous to the Maidan protests by December 31, 2024?
Basic
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Dec 31
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chance

To resolve as "Yes" (protests occurred), the following criteria must be met:

  • Sustained protests involving at least 100,000 people in Kyiv's city center or main square (Maidan Nezalezhnosti)

  • The protests must last for at least 2 consecutive weeks

  • The main demand of the protesters must be for a change in national leadership/government OR

  • The protests directly lead to the calling of new presidential elections in Ukraine

To resolve as "No" (protests did not occur), the criteria are:

  • Protests fail to meet any of the above criteria by December 31, 2024

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