Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?
59
464
1k
2150
43%
chance
Get Ṁ600 play money
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bought Ṁ10 YES

/IsaacKing/will-anybody-born-before-2000-live is virtually equivalent. Some arbitrage is needed.

@NicoDelon the resolution criteria are completely different, and the linked market will basically never resolve no.

boughtṀ16NO

@twink_joan_didion Heyyy look at that! We're buying shares on the same side for once!

predicts NO

@firstuserhere you and i, we could've run this town together if only our predictions weren't otherwise different in every way

won't happen
bought Ṁ100 of YES
This bet is an investment for my grandchildren