Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?
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2150
43%
chance
Get Ṁ600 play money
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bought Ṁ10 YES

/IsaacKing/will-anybody-born-before-2000-live is virtually equivalent. Some arbitrage is needed.

@NicoDelon the resolution criteria are completely different, and the linked market will basically never resolve no.

Twink Joan DidionboughtṀ16NO

@twink_joan_didion Heyyy look at that! We're buying shares on the same side for once!

predicts NO

@firstuserhere you and i, we could've run this town together if only our predictions weren't otherwise different in every way

won't happen
This bet is an investment for my grandchildren