Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old? | Manifold

Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old?

23

1kṀ1021

2170

10%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Time spent in cryostasis doesn't count
Mind uploading doesn't count -- the cat needs to be wetware running on DNA, proteins, lipids, etc.
Close date updated to 2170-08-21 5:59 pm

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predictedNO

Can this market be resolved before 2150?

@Duncan The very oldest of cats managed to live a few years past 30, with 38 being the world record (and #10 only living to 32). Recent articles suggest that the oldest living cat is 35 (and apparently not in good health). If, improbably, that sick and ancient cat somehow lives to 150, that'd mean the very soonest this bet could be resolved would be 2137.

This, of course, raises significant questions about how the market will be resolved, since the close date is specified as 2025?

predictedNO

@Duncan yes, if no cat alive now lives past 30, it can resolve in 2052.

predictedNO

@Duncan Fixed!

People are also trading

Will I adopt a cat before 2050?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Will humans born between 1990-2000 be able to live for 150 years?

Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?

By which year will longevity research enable a pet cat's lifespan to be extended by 10 years?

Will more than 1.5 of the cats Destiny rehouses be eaten by a human before August 2025?

Will a human being live to be 150 years old or older before the end of 2100?

Will I live to be 150 years old?

Will I live to be 150 years old?

Will there be genetically engineered catgirls by 2100?

Related questions

Will I adopt a cat before 2050?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Will humans born between 1990-2000 be able to live for 150 years?

Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?

By which year will longevity research enable a pet cat's lifespan to be extended by 10 years?

Will more than 1.5 of the cats Destiny rehouses be eaten by a human before August 2025?

Will a human being live to be 150 years old or older before the end of 2100?

Will I live to be 150 years old?

Will I live to be 150 years old?

Will there be genetically engineered catgirls by 2100?

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