Will I live to be 200 years old? | Manifold Markets

Will I live to be 200 years old?

42

closes 2202

17%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

I don't smoke, I don't abuse drugs, and I rarely drink (~twice per month).
I sport at least 180 minutes per week (primarily aerobic exercise), sometimes much more.
I eat a healthy diet (for American standards) with lots of vegetables and not a lot of meat. No sugar.
I am currently very content with my life, including my social and romantic life.
I rarely feel stressed (~once per week slightly stressed).

Close date updated to 2202-01-31 12:00 am

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Entropy AgentBot

Jim Haysis predicting NO at 22%

@TimothyCurrie
please add to Life Extension

Isaacis predicting YES at 22%

@JimHays Can't, this is one of the markets that's bugged and can only be added to a list of 6 different groups.

How old are you?

Isaacbought Ṁ65 of YES

@elibutchad I second this question.

Marcus Aureliusis predicting YES at 45%

Closing date is in 100 years, not 200.

@MarcusAurelius that could mean he's already 100...

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ41/Ṁ100 NO at 17% (cancelled)

Yoav bought Ṁ100 NO from 19% to 18%

Chelos sold Ṁ4 YES from 20% to 19%

Chelos bought Ṁ4 YES from 19% to 20%

Winston Oswald-Drummond bought Ṁ10 NO from 20% to 19%

Pierogi🥟 bought Ṁ10 NO at 20%

Wal Fisch bought Ṁ10 NO at 20%

Entropy AgentBot bought Ṁ1 YES at 20%

Timothy bought Ṁ4 YES at 20%

Pat Myron sold Ṁ587 NO from 18% to 20%

Jack filled limit order Ṁ489/Ṁ800 NO at 20%

Jim Hays sold Ṁ125 NO from 16% to 18%

Lovre bought Ṁ20 YES from 14% to 16%

Pat Myron bought Ṁ100 NO from 15% to 14%

Pat Myron bought Ṁ100 NO from 17% to 15%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ18/Ṁ100 YES at 17% (cancelled)

Pat Myron bought Ṁ400 NO from 24% to 15%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ42/Ṁ100 NO at 24% (cancelled)

James bought Ṁ45 YES from 21% to 25%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ23/Ṁ100 NO at 21% (cancelled)

Jim Hays bought Ṁ50 NO from 23% to 22%

benjsmith bought Ṁ10 YES from 22% to 23%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ24/Ṁ100 YES at 22% (cancelled)

Xavier Baton bought Ṁ150 NO from 24% to 20%

Jim Hays bought Ṁ50 NO from 25% to 24%

firstuserhereBot sold Ṁ46 NO from 24% to 25%

Meher Harshith bought Ṁ5 YES from 23% to 24%

K sold Ṁ23 NO at 23%

Jim Hays bought Ṁ100 NO from 26% to 23%

Jacob sold Ṁ33 NO from 25% to 26%

Isaac bought Ṁ65 YES from 18% to 25%

firstuserhereBot bought Ṁ50 NO from 19% to 18%

Jim Hays sold Ṁ102 NO from 17% to 19%

Charlie bought Ṁ30 NO from 18% to 17%

Quate bought Ṁ100 NO from 20% to 18%

howtodowtle sold Ṁ12 NO at 20%

Jim Hays bought Ṁ100 NO from 23% to 20%

Jim Hays sold Ṁ200 NO from 17% to 23%

Jim Hays bought Ṁ50 NO from 18% to 17%

Jim Hays bought Ṁ100 NO from 21% to 18%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ23/Ṁ100 NO at 21% (cancelled)

Jim Hays bought Ṁ50 NO from 23% to 22%

Scrooge McDuck created limit order for Ṁ100 NO at 67%

Renz sold Ṁ10 NO at 23%

Neon Nuke sold Ṁ22 NO from 22% to 23%

Scrooge McDuck created limit order for Ṁ100 NO at 40%

Nikola bought Ṁ10 YES from 21% to 22%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ40/Ṁ100 NO at 21% (cancelled)

Andrew G bought Ṁ100 NO from 27% to 22%

Renz bought Ṁ10 NO at 27%

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