The first female US president will be Republican
54
1kṀ36662028
48%
chance
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Resolves Yes if the first female US president is the Republican nominee. Resolves No if the first female US president is the Democratic nominee.
Resolves to 50% if the first female US president is neither Republican nor Democratic.
Succession: this includes a vice president, who becomes president due to death of the incumbent, in which case it resolves Yes/No/50% based on whether they were a Republican/Democratic/other vice presidential nominee or appointee. Later positions in the line of succession are treated similarly.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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