The first female US president will be Republican | Manifold

The first female US president will be Republican

Plus

41

Ṁ2054

2028

41%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves Yes if the first female US president is the Republican nominee. Resolves No if the first female US president is the Democratic nominee.

Resolves to 50% if the first female US president is neither Republican nor Democratic.

Succession: this includes a vice president, who becomes president due to death of the incumbent, in which case it resolves Yes/No/50% based on whether they were a Republican/Democratic/other vice presidential nominee or appointee. Later positions in the line of succession are treated similarly.

Female president

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

#First Female POTUS

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opened a Ṁ100 YES at 40% order

Arbitrage:

Caveat aleator: that link is DPM and so untrustworthy. The fixed odds replacement:

/PlasmaBallin/who-will-be-the-first-female-potus

The first three female UK Prime Ministers have been Conservative. I've not looked at global base rates.

biden is really old

The first female US president will be Republican, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

@ManifoldDream You're illustrating the market with men?

I think that is supposed to be a woman:

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