The first female US president will be Republican
The first female US president will be Republican
52
1kṀ3615
2028
51%
chance

Resolves Yes if the first female US president is the Republican nominee. Resolves No if the first female US president is the Democratic nominee.

Resolves to 50% if the first female US president is neither Republican nor Democratic.

Succession: this includes a vice president, who becomes president due to death of the incumbent, in which case it resolves Yes/No/50% based on whether they were a Republican/Democratic/other vice presidential nominee or appointee. Later positions in the line of succession are treated similarly.

Female president
US Politics
Trump
First Female POTUS
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opened a Ṁ100 YES at 40% order5mo

Arbitrage:

2y
1y

Caveat aleator: that link is DPM and so untrustworthy. The fixed odds replacement:

Who will be the first female president of the U.S.?‌

2y

The first three female UK Prime Ministers have been Conservative. I've not looked at global base rates.

2y

biden is really old

2y

@a

2y

The first female US president will be Republican, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

2y

@ManifoldDream You're illustrating the market with men?

2y

I think that is supposed to be a woman:

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