The first female US president will be Republican
51
1kṀ36032028
52%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if the first female US president is the Republican nominee. Resolves No if the first female US president is the Democratic nominee.
Resolves to 50% if the first female US president is neither Republican nor Democratic.
Succession: this includes a vice president, who becomes president due to death of the incumbent, in which case it resolves Yes/No/50% based on whether they were a Republican/Democratic/other vice presidential nominee or appointee. Later positions in the line of succession are treated similarly.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Caveat aleator: that link is DPM and so untrustworthy. The fixed odds replacement:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Ivanka Trump be the first female elected President?
6% chance
Will the first woman president of the United States be a Republican?
51% chance
🇺🇸 Will the first woman to become President of the United States be a Republican or a Democrat?
Will the first female President be right-wing?
28% chance
Will the first elected female President be right-wing?
50% chance
Who will be the first female president of the U.S.?
Who will be the first female president of the U.S.?
When will the US have the first female President?
Who will be the first woman president of the United States?
Will the Republican nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
22% chance