When will the US have the first female President?
45
2kṀ7274
2032
1%
Before the end of 2025
1%
Before the end of 2026
1.2%
Before the end of 2027
4%
Before the end of 2028
20%
Before the end of 2029
20%
Before the end of 2030
20%
Before the end of 2031
20%
Before the end of 2032
40%
Before the end of 2036
74%
Before the end of 2040
86%
Before the end of 2044
91%
Before the end of 2048
95%
Before the end of 2052
47%
Before Joe Biden pass away
59%
Before Donald Trump pass away
62%
Before human land on mars
35%
Before human set foot on moon again
99%
Before the U.S. government collapses
99.7%
Before the U.S. has the second female president

Resolves Yes if a female president was elected or a female vice president became president due to the current president unable to perform his duty.

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@AmmonLam This can resolve NO, correct?

bought Ṁ5 YES

According to this reliable source Trump is the first female president of the United States. https://www.latintimes.com/trumps-anti-trans-executive-order-technically-defines-all-americans-female-it-was-written-572956

bought Ṁ15 YES

@AmmonLam This was at 36% but the description says “Resolves Yes if a female president was elected”. 36 is somewhat in between the chance of Kamala replacing Biden by EOY (<10%) and being elected this year and sworn in next year (~50%). I bet it up, but clarification would be helpful.

bought Ṁ350 YES

If US started having duo president system, and two female president was elected at the same time, this will resolve No

@AmmonLam Oh no, dual presidents is happening this year

bought Ṁ30 NO

Elected or sworn in?

@redeagle Either one since it isnt specified

@Bayesian The description says "elected" but that always happens on a separate year than the swearing in and actually becoming president. Wondering for the year specified if we are counting elected without having been sworn in yet.

The formal tabulation doesn't happen until January, no?

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