Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party Nominee for President for the 2028 election?
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21
แน€938
2028
48%
chance

Pretty straightforward. Resolves true if and when Kamala Harris gets the official nomination for president from the US Democratic Party. Otherwise false.

I put a fairly late resolution date on here since there's no official date for the convention yet, but it will probably happen in the summer of 2028.

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I know 2028 feels like a long way out, but it does get effected by the way things play out now and in the next election.

If Biden wins another term with Harris as his VP then she becomes sort of the obvious default pick. But of course there are many other ways things can shake out.