Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the first female President of the United States has at least one biological or legally adopted child prior to or during her tenure in office.

This market will resolve to NO if the first female President of the United States has never had a biological or legally adopted child prior to or during her tenure in office.

Clarifications & Edge Cases:

• Stepmotherhood: Having stepchildren (but no biological or legally adopted children) does not qualify as being a mother for the purposes of this market.

• Timing: The president's maternal status will be evaluated up to and during her presidency.

• Source of Truth: Official biographical records published by the White House (whitehouse.gov) or consensus reporting from major international news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters) at the time she takes office (or when she becomes a mother, if that occurs during her presidency).

• If first female president is pregnant at time of being elected, will only resolve YES if there was prior public knowledge before given election date.

Background

While the United States has yet to elect its first female president, several prominent female political figures have different parental statuses:

• Kamala Harris is a stepmother to two children, but does not have biological or legally adopted children.

• Other historical and potential future female candidates—such as Hillary Clinton, Nikki Haley, Elizabeth Warren, and Amy Klobuchar—are biological mothers.