Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party Nominee for President for the 2028 election?

Question

Pretty straightforward. Resolves true if and when Kamala Harris gets the official nomination for president from the US Democratic Party. Otherwise false.

I put a fairly late resolution date on here since there's no official date for the convention yet, but it will probably happen in the summer of 2028.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 6% chance (28 traders, as of May 17, 2026).