Will the next president be a republican? | Manifold

Will the next president be a republican?

6

Ṁ100Ṁ131

2028

24%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Update 2026-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on the president elected in the next US elections only. It does not resolve YES if a Vice President assumes the presidency due to incapacitation.

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opened a Ṁ3 YES at 46% order

Does this include the vice president becoming president due to the president being incapacitated?

bought Ṁ10 YES

@4fa no, only the president elected in the next US elections

@yogevOved What if there is no election?

@JoaoFonsaka unlikely but in that case the leader of the nation would be either former democrat or republican

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