Now I'm really curious if Apple would require Manifold to censor user-generated content like this!

If no, Manifold could trivially bypass Apple's rules by just recruiting a friendly user to post this and then making sure it ranks highly on their recommendation algo.

But if yes, would that also mean that e.g. the Facebook/Twitter/... iOS apps also need to block any user posts on this topic since they also have in-app purchases? That seems like it would get Apple a lot of free-speech backlash. (Sample headline: "Apple forces Twitter to censor anti-Apple tweets...")

My personal opinion is that Apple shouldn't have such a rule in the first place, but it raises some interesting questions since they have it.

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@MartinRandall will it resolve to the proportion of likes? Or to the % of the market at close date?

@d "Resolves to the proportion of likers who already knew this"

@MartinRandall I read it 5 times and somehow I missed it haha. My brain just interpreted likers as “voters” or something I guess 😆

@d I do the same myself. I'm a bit surprised it's so close to 50%.