mana circulation keep going up over time, mana inflation is real, market interest rate for mana is about 5% a month
So will 1USD buy more than 100 Mana before the end of 2025?
Resolves Yes if there is a permanent increase in official buy-in USD:mana exchange rate such that users can buy more than 100 mana with 1 USD.
*temporary mana discount does not count for the resolution. it has to be a permanent change in exchange rate.
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@Eliza I’m hoping on to the tiny hope that they will not go forward to the 90% wealth tax to everyone
Looking at bets volume vs. Active user growth, Mana inflation seems to be around 500% over the last 12 months
Nevertheless, inflation would not be directly linked to how much mana you can buy with USD, as this is a business decision and it can be the strategy of the business to raise the price of mana as users grow just through inflation without actually having to change the nominal exchange price. They could instead do seasonal discounts (regular temporary discounts) and I believe these should satisfy the question requirements given that it's addressing inflation.
@RanaG I think I dispute your definition of inflation there. In any case, I'm betting NO based especially on this clause:
temporary mana discount does not count for the resolution. it has to be a permanent change in exchange rate
Surely this shouldn't be higher than https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-1usd-buy-more-than-100-mana-be-c04a1a840928?r=U29uYXRhR3JlZW4